Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Greig 45.0% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 63.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 78.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Staal
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Staal
Greig
Last 8: Staal 5-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Staal
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Greig
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
45.2% (414)
+13.7%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
28.6% (14)
+39.8%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
28.6% (21)
+23.2%
On power play, Staal has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Greig is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Staal
Greig
Home
57.0% (646)
46.4% (196)
Away
59.1% (729)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Staal
Greig
P1
55.9%
40.8%
P2
55.4%
46.4%
P3
62.0%
43.9%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |