Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Greig 50.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 54.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 62.6%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Staal
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
51.5% (336)
+4.6%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
66.7% (24)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
43.2% (81)
-0.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Staal
Greig
Home
55.4% (663)
50.2% (247)
Away
54.4% (676)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Staal
Greig
P1
55.1%
46.9%
P2
54.7%
58.8%
P3
53.9%
48.3%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |