Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Greig 48.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 82.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 81.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Staal
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Staal
Greig
Last 9: Staal 6-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Staal
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Greig
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
48.5% (1,133)
+7.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
56.8% (74)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
46.5% (172)
+1.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Staal
Greig
Home
56.4% (9,663)
49.8% (681)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Staal
Greig
P1
55.2%
46.3%
P2
55.9%
51.2%
P3
54.9%
48.8%
OT
56.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |