Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.7%). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Greig 53.8% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 52.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Staal
Greig
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
53.6% (280)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
61.3% (31)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
56.5% (69)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Staal
Greig
Home
54.3% (667)
56.2% (185)
Away
54.7% (662)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Staal
Greig
P1
56.2%
52.8%
P2
57.0%
51.6%
P3
49.7%
59.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%