Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Colton 51.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 54.0%
Defensive zone
Colton 52.0%
Neutral zone
Colton 54.9%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Staal
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Staal
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Staal
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
52.7% (524)
+6.2%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
50.9% (53)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
0.0% (4)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Staal
Colton
Home
59.0% (578)
52.9% (291)
Away
55.9% (707)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Staal
Colton
P1
57.1%
50.6%
P2
60.9%
54.4%
P3
55.8%
51.6%
OT
20.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |