Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Colton 51.4% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 65.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 81.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 73.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Staal
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
52.1% (741)
+6.8%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
48.3% (60)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
42.1% (19)
+9.7%
On power play, Staal has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Staal
Colton
Home
57.0% (646)
54.0% (411)
Away
59.1% (729)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Staal
Colton
P1
55.9%
56.7%
P2
55.4%
53.1%
P3
62.0%
46.3%
OT
70.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |