Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 56.1%). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Colton 54.0% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 53.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Staal
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Colton
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Staal
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
56.1% (173)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
56.3% (16)
+4.9%
On power play, Staal has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Colton is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Staal
Colton
Home
58.3% (705)
55.3% (94)
Away
53.3% (769)
56.8% (95)
By Period
Staal
Colton
P1
54.5%
48.1%
P2
58.2%
62.5%
P3
54.1%
57.1%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |