Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Colton 48.5% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 72.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.1%
Neutral zone
Colton 55.9%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Staal
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Staal
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
45.5% (88)
+10.6%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
71.4% (7)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
0.0% (1)
+43.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Colton is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Staal
Colton
Home
55.4% (663)
44.7% (47)
Away
54.4% (676)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Staal
Colton
P1
55.1%
52.8%
P2
54.7%
47.1%
P3
53.9%
38.5%
Final 5 min
57.2%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Ross Colton |