Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs McLeod 48.4% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 58.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Staal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Staal
McLeod
Last 9: Staal 6-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
49.0% (500)
+7.3%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
43.8% (48)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
44.0% (50)
+8.1%
On power play, Staal has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Staal
McLeod
Home
58.3% (705)
50.9% (291)
Away
53.3% (769)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Staal
McLeod
P1
54.5%
44.3%
P2
58.2%
52.4%
P3
54.1%
47.8%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |