Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs McLeod 50.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Staal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
McLeod
Last 6: Staal 4-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
51.3% (628)
+7.6%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
68.3% (41)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
30.6% (49)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Staal
McLeod
Home
57.0% (646)
51.5% (394)
Away
59.1% (729)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Staal
McLeod
P1
55.9%
51.5%
P2
55.4%
47.0%
P3
62.0%
54.3%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |