Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs McLeod 52.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Staal
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
McLeod
Last 5: Staal 3-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Staal
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
52.9% (904)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
57.6% (59)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
49.0% (241)
-3.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Staal
McLeod
Home
54.3% (667)
51.8% (612)
Away
54.7% (662)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Staal
McLeod
P1
56.2%
55.4%
P2
57.0%
50.8%
P3
49.7%
51.6%
OT
68.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |