Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Strome 45.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 72.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 92.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 88.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Staal
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Staal
Strome
Last 6: Staal 6-0 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
44.2% (267)
+11.9%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
37.0% (27)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
50.0% (4)
-7.0%
On power play, Staal has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Staal
Strome
Home
55.4% (663)
42.0% (157)
Away
54.4% (676)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Staal
Strome
P1
55.1%
40.0%
P2
54.7%
46.4%
P3
53.9%
44.0%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |