Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Strome 45.0% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Staal
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Staal
Strome
Last 9: Staal 5-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
Staal
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
44.1% (749)
+14.8%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
46.2% (52)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
52.9% (17)
-3.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Staal
Strome
Home
59.0% (578)
45.1% (441)
Away
55.9% (707)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Staal
Strome
P1
57.1%
42.9%
P2
60.9%
44.4%
P3
55.8%
45.8%
OT
20.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |