Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Strome 44.4% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 70.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 92.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 82.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Staal
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Staal
Strome
Last 6: Staal 5-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
43.0% (788)
+13.3%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
47.9% (96)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
50.0% (34)
+2.1%
On power play, Staal has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Staal
Strome
Home
58.3% (705)
42.6% (486)
Away
53.3% (769)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Staal
Strome
P1
54.5%
41.0%
P2
58.2%
47.8%
P3
54.1%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |