Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Strome 42.3% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 58.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 90.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 83.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Staal
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Staal
Strome
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
5
Staal
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
0
Staal
Strome
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
41.2% (1,040)
+15.8%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
43.0% (151)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
51.4% (35)
-6.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Staal
Strome
Home
54.3% (667)
40.1% (581)
Away
54.7% (662)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Staal
Strome
P1
56.2%
41.4%
P2
57.0%
42.9%
P3
49.7%
40.5%
OT
68.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | OT | 00:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |