Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 22 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Strome 44.6% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 58-23 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 86.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 98.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 96.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 93.1%
93.1%
6.9%
Staal
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
23
(81 meetings)
58
23
Staal
Strome
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
18
12
Staal
Strome
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
20
2
Staal
Strome
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
20
9
Staal
Strome
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
44.1% (6,839)
+11.8%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
49.3% (854)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
41.5% (410)
+6.5%
On power play, Staal has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Staal
Strome
Home
56.4% (9,663)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Staal
Strome
P1
55.2%
44.0%
P2
55.9%
45.3%
P3
54.9%
44.3%
OT
56.2%
46.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | OT | 00:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |