Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Carrick 49.5% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 59.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Staal
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
48.9% (352)
+10.0%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
81.3% (16)
-27.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
42.2% (45)
+6.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Staal
Carrick
Home
59.0% (578)
46.9% (192)
Away
55.9% (707)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Staal
Carrick
P1
57.1%
48.1%
P2
60.9%
50.0%
P3
55.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%