Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Carrick 53.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 53.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 62.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Staal
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Staal
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
53.9% (521)
+5.0%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
57.1% (35)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
51.5% (229)
+0.3%
On power play, Staal has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Staal
Carrick
Home
57.0% (646)
52.7% (408)
Away
59.1% (729)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Staal
Carrick
P1
55.9%
51.4%
P2
55.4%
56.6%
P3
62.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
63.1%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |