Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Carrick 49.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 57.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Staal
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Staal
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
49.2% (307)
+7.1%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
66.7% (6)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
48.2% (56)
+3.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Staal
Carrick
Home
58.3% (705)
50.3% (175)
Away
53.3% (769)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Staal
Carrick
P1
54.5%
41.0%
P2
58.2%
51.2%
P3
54.1%
55.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |