Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Steel 49.4% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 58.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Staal
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Steel
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Staal
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
49.3% (383)
+9.6%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
59.1% (22)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
14.3% (7)
+34.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +34.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Staal
Steel
Home
59.0% (578)
49.4% (180)
Away
55.9% (707)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Staal
Steel
P1
57.1%
51.9%
P2
60.9%
43.8%
P3
55.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
60.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |