Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Steel 48.8% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 78.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 57.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 69.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Staal
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Staal
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Staal
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
49.5% (553)
+6.8%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
61.3% (31)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
30.6% (49)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Staal
Steel
Home
58.3% (705)
46.4% (347)
Away
53.3% (769)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Staal
Steel
P1
54.5%
52.1%
P2
58.2%
49.8%
P3
54.1%
45.2%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Sam Steel |