Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Steel 50.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 54.4%
Defensive zone
Steel 51.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Staal
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Staal
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
52.5% (200)
+3.6%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
71.4% (7)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
40.0% (45)
+3.0%
On power play, Steel has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Staal
Steel
Home
55.4% (663)
49.5% (109)
Away
54.4% (676)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Staal
Steel
P1
55.1%
49.5%
P2
54.7%
47.5%
P3
53.9%
56.6%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Sam Steel |