Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 63.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 69.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Staal
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Staal
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
51.8% (444)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
45.3% (150)
-2.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Staal
Kuraly
Home
55.4% (663)
54.6% (304)
Away
54.4% (676)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Staal
Kuraly
P1
55.1%
55.2%
P2
54.7%
45.7%
P3
53.9%
49.5%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |