Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 59.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 57.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Staal
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Staal
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
49.4% (445)
+9.5%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
100.0% (3)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
41.9% (117)
+9.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Staal
Kuraly
Home
57.0% (646)
49.2% (248)
Away
59.1% (729)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Staal
Kuraly
P1
55.9%
48.3%
P2
55.4%
44.7%
P3
62.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |