Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 80.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 62.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Staal
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Staal
Kuraly
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Staal
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
52.3% (982)
+6.6%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
41.9% (43)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
39.2% (245)
+9.9%
On power play, Staal has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Staal
Kuraly
Home
59.0% (578)
50.3% (680)
Away
55.9% (707)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Staal
Kuraly
P1
57.1%
49.5%
P2
60.9%
49.6%
P3
55.8%
49.0%
OT
20.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |