Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 58.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 60.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Staal
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Staal
Kuraly
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Staal
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
6
Staal
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
49.2% (901)
+7.1%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
68.2% (22)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
49.8% (219)
+2.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Staal
Kuraly
Home
58.3% (705)
51.7% (603)
Away
53.3% (769)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Staal
Kuraly
P1
54.5%
50.9%
P2
58.2%
49.5%
P3
54.1%
49.1%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 17:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |