Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Thompson 41.2% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 94.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 95.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 94.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 94.8%
94.8%
5.2%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
5
(22 meetings)
17
5
Staal
Thompson
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
9
2
Staal
Thompson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
40.6% (801)
+18.3%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
44.7% (103)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
31.0% (71)
+18.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
59.0% (578)
43.2% (507)
Away
55.9% (707)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
57.1%
37.7%
P2
60.9%
43.4%
P3
55.8%
39.5%
OT
20.8%
27.3%
Final 5 min
60.5%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |