Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Thompson 44.0% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 83.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 90.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Staal
Thompson
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
44.6% (709)
+14.3%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
41.5% (53)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
35.1% (97)
+16.7%
On power play, Staal has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
57.0% (646)
45.5% (426)
Away
59.1% (729)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
55.9%
48.5%
P2
55.4%
43.8%
P3
62.0%
38.1%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |