Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Thompson 43.7% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 77.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 96.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 93.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Staal
Thompson
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
41.9% (597)
+15.1%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
50.5% (95)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
25.0% (12)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
54.3% (667)
47.1% (367)
Away
54.7% (662)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
56.2%
44.2%
P2
57.0%
41.6%
P3
49.7%
42.9%
OT
68.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |