Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Thompson 43.8% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 85.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Staal
Thompson
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
0
Staal
Thompson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Staal
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Staal
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
43.3% (735)
+13.0%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
50.0% (26)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
36.5% (52)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
58.3% (705)
44.5% (407)
Away
53.3% (769)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
54.5%
44.4%
P2
58.2%
44.8%
P3
54.1%
40.2%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |