Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Novak 46.5% (+13.3%)
Offensive zone
Novak 61.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Staal
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
43.2% (118)
+15.7%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
47.8% (23)
+5.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Staal
Novak
Home
59.0% (578)
50.7% (71)
Away
55.9% (707)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Staal
Novak
P1
57.1%
44.7%
P2
60.9%
50.0%
P3
55.8%
38.9%
Final 5 min
60.5%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%