Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Zegras 41.5% (+17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 60.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 86.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Staal
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Zegras
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
39.4% (510)
+19.5%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
47.1% (34)
+6.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Staal
Zegras
Home
59.0% (578)
42.3% (272)
Away
55.9% (707)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Staal
Zegras
P1
57.1%
37.6%
P2
60.9%
41.5%
P3
55.8%
40.8%
OT
20.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |