Jordan Staal vs Trevor Zegras

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Staal 55.3% vs Zegras 39.2% (+16.7%)
H2H factor Zegras leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone Zegras 90.6%
Defensive zone Zegras 60.8%
Neutral zone Zegras 83.5%
Result Trevor Zegras favored at 81.3%
18.7%
81.3%
Staal Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 10 (15 meetings)
5
10
Staal Zegras
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Zegras

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
4
Staal Zegras
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
6
Staal Zegras
7 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Staal
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
38.6% (1,669)
+17.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
38.5% (148)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
28.6% (7)
+19.4%
On power play, Staal has a +24.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Staal
Zegras
Home
56.4% (9,663)
39.9% (882)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Staal
Zegras
P1
55.2%
40.2%
P2
55.9%
38.0%
P3
54.9%
37.7%
OT
56.2%
31.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
40.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%
51.0%
55.3%
Zegras
16.0%
26.5%
38.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 14, 2025 3 00:41 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Dec 14, 2025 2 16:25 Defensive Jordan Staal
Dec 14, 2025 2 11:17 Neutral Trevor Zegras
Dec 14, 2025 1 19:07 Neutral Trevor Zegras
Oct 11, 2025 3 11:42 Defensive Jordan Staal
Oct 11, 2025 3 04:27 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Oct 11, 2025 2 13:25 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Oct 11, 2025 1 19:29 Offensive Trevor Zegras
Mar 23, 2025 1 03:07 Offensive Jordan Staal
Oct 15, 2023 1 10:57 Neutral Trevor Zegras
Oct 15, 2023 1 04:26 Neutral Trevor Zegras
Dec 6, 2022 1 16:02 Neutral Trevor Zegras
Dec 6, 2022 1 03:44 Neutral Trevor Zegras
Nov 18, 2021 1 15:37 Neutral Jordan Staal
Nov 18, 2021 1 15:30 Defensive Jordan Staal