Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Zegras 42.6% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 85.1%
Defensive zone
Zegras 57.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 76.8%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Staal
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Staal
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Staal
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
41.1% (559)
+15.2%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
50.0% (12)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
50.0% (2)
+2.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Staal
Zegras
Home
58.3% (705)
45.7% (247)
Away
53.3% (769)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Staal
Zegras
P1
54.5%
45.5%
P2
58.2%
36.8%
P3
54.1%
41.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |