Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Staal wins 63.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Trocheck 50.2% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 79.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 65.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Staal
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Staal
Trocheck
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Staal
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
7
3
Staal
Trocheck
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
50.3% (1,280)
+8.8%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
52.7% (201)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
46.4% (183)
+6.2%
On power play, Staal has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Staal is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Trocheck is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,044).
Home / Away
Staal
Trocheck
Home
61.2% (600)
52.4% (828)
Away
56.9% (566)
48.0% (836)
By Period
Staal
Trocheck
P1
57.5%
52.6%
P2
60.1%
50.9%
P3
59.1%
48.1%
OT
70.0%
34.4%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |