Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 80.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 56.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Staal
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Staal
Trocheck
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
8
Staal
Trocheck
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
1
Staal
Trocheck
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Staal
Trocheck
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
59.6% (1,032)
-2.6%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
62.1% (253)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
55.4% (249)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Staal
Trocheck
Home
54.3% (667)
61.7% (786)
Away
54.7% (662)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Staal
Trocheck
P1
56.2%
61.7%
P2
57.0%
58.8%
P3
49.7%
57.6%
OT
68.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:54 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |