Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 67.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 52.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 61.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Staal
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Staal
Trocheck
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
3
Staal
Trocheck
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
57.8% (626)
-1.7%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
63.6% (151)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
44.0% (141)
-1.0%
On power play, Staal has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Staal
Trocheck
Home
55.4% (663)
54.4% (390)
Away
54.4% (676)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Staal
Trocheck
P1
55.1%
56.4%
P2
54.7%
58.7%
P3
53.9%
54.8%
OT
70.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |