Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 56.1%). Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 70.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 53.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Staal
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
18
(37 meetings)
19
18
Staal
Trocheck
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
5
8
Staal
Trocheck
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
6
Staal
Trocheck
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
4
Staal
Trocheck
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
55.0% (956)
+1.3%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
59.8% (266)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
56.3% (64)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Staal
Trocheck
Home
58.3% (705)
57.7% (673)
Away
53.3% (769)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Staal
Trocheck
P1
54.5%
55.4%
P2
58.2%
55.6%
P3
54.1%
56.4%
OT
60.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |