Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.1% vs 58.7%). Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 72.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.9%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 52.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Staal
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Staal
Trocheck
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
7
Staal
Trocheck
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
2
Staal
Trocheck
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Staal
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
57.6% (1,061)
+1.3%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
65.1% (338)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
49.5% (101)
+2.3%
On power play, Staal has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Staal
Trocheck
Home
57.0% (646)
61.8% (735)
Away
59.1% (729)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Staal
Trocheck
P1
55.9%
57.7%
P2
55.4%
57.9%
P3
62.0%
60.4%
OT
70.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:35 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:20 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |