Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Johnston 44.8% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 54.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 55.3%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Staal
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
42.5% (318)
+13.8%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
55.6% (9)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
62.5% (8)
-10.4%
On even strength, Staal has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Staal
Johnston
Home
58.3% (705)
40.5% (168)
Away
53.3% (769)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Staal
Johnston
P1
54.5%
46.9%
P2
58.2%
40.4%
P3
54.1%
41.9%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |