Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Hayes 43.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 75.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 72.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 77.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Norris
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Norris
Hayes
Last 10: Norris 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Norris
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
3
Norris
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Norris
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
42.7% (478)
+8.5%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
42.9% (98)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
45.2% (31)
-6.4%
On power play, Norris has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Norris
Hayes
Home
55.6% (487)
43.5% (232)
Away
47.0% (549)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Norris
Hayes
P1
54.8%
40.1%
P2
51.3%
44.8%
P3
48.0%
42.4%
OT
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Josh Norris |