Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Hayes 49.5% (+8.5%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 71.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 71.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Norris
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
48.5% (557)
+15.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.3% (107)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
58.3% (12)
-10.9%
On even strength, Norris has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Norris shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Norris
Hayes
Home
62.2% (37)
50.8% (313)
Away
50.0% (20)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Norris
Hayes
P1
64.3%
52.3%
P2
59.1%
47.7%
P3
52.4%
48.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%