Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Hayes 51.7% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 63.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 60.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Norris
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
51.6% (386)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
53.2% (47)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
60.0% (20)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Norris
Hayes
Home
53.6% (373)
50.5% (200)
Away
54.1% (394)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Norris
Hayes
P1
61.8%
58.8%
P2
51.7%
49.3%
P3
49.8%
48.0%
OT
27.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%