Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Hayes 42.7% (+13.9%)
Offensive zone
Norris 50.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 61.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Norris
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
31.9% (91)
+18.1%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
64.3% (14)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
0.0% (1)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Norris shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Norris
Hayes
Home
47.2% (193)
30.6% (49)
Away
51.6% (246)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Norris
Hayes
P1
53.8%
22.9%
P2
48.2%
40.0%
P3
47.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%