Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Barzal 46.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 63.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 54.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Norris
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Norris
Barzal
Last 5: Norris 2-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Norris
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
46.6% (483)
+4.6%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
40.9% (22)
+18.1%
On power play, Norris has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Norris is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Norris shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Norris
Barzal
Home
55.6% (487)
49.6% (242)
Away
47.0% (549)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Norris
Barzal
P1
54.8%
42.4%
P2
51.3%
49.5%
P3
48.0%
47.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |