Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Barzal 47.4% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 56.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 88.6%
Neutral zone
Norris 76.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Norris
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Norris
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Norris
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
0
Norris
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
42.3% (52)
+11.3%
On even strength, Norris has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Norris is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Norris shoots left. Barzal is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Norris
Barzal
Home
53.6% (373)
28.0% (25)
Away
54.1% (394)
55.6% (27)
By Period
Norris
Barzal
P1
61.8%
47.4%
P2
51.7%
45.8%
P3
49.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
55.7%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.8%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |