Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+6.8%)
Offensive zone
Norris 50.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 64.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 52.3%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Norris
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
52.2% (366)
+11.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.0% (15)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
46.2% (104)
+1.2%
On even strength, Norris has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Norris is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Norris shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Norris
Lafferty
Home
62.2% (37)
53.1% (258)
Away
50.0% (20)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Norris
Lafferty
P1
64.3%
52.5%
P2
59.1%
49.7%
P3
52.4%
51.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%