Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Lafferty 50.7% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Norris 57.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 61.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 54.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Norris
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
52.4% (42)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Norris is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Norris shoots left. Lafferty is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Norris
Lafferty
Home
47.2% (193)
47.8% (23)
Away
51.6% (246)
57.9% (19)
By Period
Norris
Lafferty
P1
53.8%
53.3%
P2
48.2%
55.6%
P3
47.9%
47.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%