Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 67.7%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 59.1%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 68.1%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Norris
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Norris
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Norris
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Norris
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
42.6% (324)
+9.6%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
31.3% (16)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
43.8% (16)
+2.9%
On power play, Norris has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Norris shoots left. Lafferty is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Norris
Lafferty
Home
50.7% (351)
40.9% (181)
Away
54.0% (278)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Norris
Lafferty
P1
55.6%
42.2%
P2
49.3%
36.4%
P3
52.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |