Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 77.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 56.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 64.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Norris
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Norris
Lafferty
Last 9: Norris 5-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
4
0
Norris
Lafferty
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Norris
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Norris
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
48.0% (1,413)
+4.5%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
45.7% (46)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
43.5% (184)
+1.9%
On power play, Norris has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,309).
Norris shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Norris
Lafferty
Home
53.1% (1,856)
47.3% (833)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Norris
Lafferty
P1
55.6%
49.4%
P2
51.4%
43.1%
P3
50.1%
49.8%
OT
40.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:44 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Josh Norris |